justin-searls-co-3e8gm7.txt (24501B)
1 [1] 2 justin․searls․co 3 4 • [2]Home 5 • [3]About 6 • [4]Search 7 • [5]Subscribe 8 9 • [6]Posts 10 • [7]Links 11 • [8]Shots 12 • [9]Takes 13 • [10]Tubes 14 • [11]Casts 15 • [12]Spots 16 • [13]Mails 17 18 • [14]About Site 19 • [15]Search It! 20 • [16]Newsletter 21 • [17]RSS / Atom 22 23 • [18]Work 24 • [19]GitHub 25 • [20]YouTube 26 • [21]LinkedIn 27 • [22]Instagram 28 • [23]Mastodon 29 • [24]Twitter 30 31 × 32 Want [25]more of me in your life? 33 [26][ ] [27][Sign up] 34 Friday, Jun 14, 2024 [28] 35 36 Dear AI companies, please scrape this website 37 38 Last night, I read a flurry of angry feedback following WWDC. It appears some 39 people are mad about Apple's AI announcements. Just like they were mad about 40 Apple's [29]hydraulic press ad last month. 41 42 I woke up this morning with a single question: 43 44 "Am I the only person on earth who actually wants AI companies to scrape my 45 website?" 46 47 Publications that depend on ad revenue don't. License holders counting on a 48 return for their intellectual property investment are lawyering up. Quite a few 49 Mastodon users appear not to be on board, either. 50 51 Me, meanwhile, would absolutely positively 💗LOVE💗 if the AIs scraped the shit 52 out of this website, as well as all the other things I post publicly online. 53 54 Really, take my work! Go nuts! Make your AI think more like me. Make your AI 55 sound more like me. Make your AI agree with my view of the world more often. 56 57 The entire reason I create shit is so that others will take it! To share ideas 58 I find compelling in the hope those ideas will continue to spread. Why wouldn't 59 I want OpenAI or Apple or whoever to feed everything I say into their AI 60 model's training data? Hell, scrape me twice if it'll double the potency. On 61 more than one occasion, I've felt that my [30]solo podcast project is in part 62 "worth it", because—relative to the number of words I'm capable of writing and 63 editing—those audio files represent a gob-smacking amount of Searls-flavored 64 data that will contribute to a massive, spooky corpus of ideas that will later 65 be regurgitated into a chat window and pasted into some future kid's homework 66 assignment. 67 68 I'm not going to have children. I don't believe in God. I know that as soon as 69 I'm dead, it's game over. But one thing that drives me to show up every day and 70 put my back into my work—even when I know I can get away with doing less—is the 71 irrational and bizarre compulsion to leave my mark on the world. It's utter and 72 total nonsense to think like that, but also life is really long and I need to 73 pass the time somehow. 74 75 So I make stuff! And it'd be kinda neat if that stuff lived on for a little 76 while after I was gone. 77 78 And I know I'm not alone. Countless creatives are striving to meet the same 79 fundamental human need to secure some kind of legacy that will outlive them. If 80 millions of people read their writing, watch their videos, or appreciate their 81 artwork, they'd be thrilled. But as soon as the topic of that work being thrown 82 into a communal pot of AI training data is raised—even if it means that in some 83 small way, they'd be influencing billions more people—creative folk are 84 typically vehemently opposed to it. 85 86 Is it that AI will mangle and degrade the purity of their work? My whole 87 career, I've watched humans take my work, make it their own (often in ways that 88 are categorically worse), and then share it with the world as representing what 89 Justin Searls thinks. 90 91 Is it the lack of attribution? Because I've found that, "humans leveraging my 92 work without giving me credit," is an awfully long-winded way to pronounce 93 "open source." 94 95 Is it a manifestation of a broader fear that their creative medium will be 96 devalued as a commodity in this new era of [31]AI slop? Because my appreciation 97 for human creativity has actually increased since the dawn of generative AI—as 98 its output gravitates towards the global median, the resulting deluge of 99 literally-mediocre content has only served to highlight the extraordinary-ness 100 of humans who produce exceptional work. 101 102 For once, I'm not trying to be needlessly provocative. The above is an honest 103 reflection of my initial and sustained reaction to the prospect of my work 104 landing in a bunch of currently-half-cocked-but-maybe-some-day-full-cocked AI 105 training sets. I figured I'd post this angle, because it sure seems like The 106 Discourse on this issue is universally one-sided in its opposition. 107 108 Anyway, you heard that right Sam, Sundar, Tim, and Satya: please, scrape this 109 website to your heart's content. 110 111 [32]Backing up a step 112 113 A lot of people whose income depends on creating content, making decisions, or 114 performing administrative tasks are quite rightly worried about generative AI 115 and to what extent it poses a threat to that income. Numerous jobs that could 116 previously be counted on to provide a comfortable—even affluent—lifestyle would 117 now be very difficult to recommend as a career path to someone just starting 118 out. Even if the AI boosters claiming we're a hair's breadth away from [33]AGI 119 turn out to be dead wrong, these tools can perform numerous valuable tasks 120 already, so the spectre of AI can't simply be hand-waved away. This is a 121 serious issue and it's understandable that discussions around it can quickly 122 become emotionally charged for those affected. 123 124 But it also feels like on an individual basis, it's hard to make out what AI 125 skeptics (for lack of a better term) actually propose we do about any of this, 126 especially if you narrow it down to solutions that have even a remote chance of 127 materializing. 128 129 People's negative reactions to Apple's keynote seemed to fall into three 130 buckets: 131 132 • Hope that industry regulation meaningfully halts the development and 133 proliferation of AI tools, effectively requiring worldwide coordination 134 among world leaders in an era marked by global conflict and strained 135 alliances 136 • Hope that social policies guaranteeing the well-being of people whose 137 income might be displaced by AI (e.g. subsidized job retraining, universal 138 basic income) are adopted, requiring a flurry of progressive, pro-social 139 policies to pass amid a seemingly global rightward lurch politically 140 • Hope that companies like Apple take the high road and reject the adoption 141 of AI, even though this would inevitably result in their stock price (and 142 therefore, executive compensation and employee retention) dropping off a 143 cliff. It could also invite an existential threat if competitors were to 144 introduce game-changing AI-powered capabilities (requiring further hope 145 that consumers, in turn, take the high road and reject those competitors in 146 solidarity with the interests of labor) 147 148 Real talk: each of the above scenarios are so laughably unlikely that I 149 struggled to get through typing all that. 150 151 As a former colleague of mine once quipped after joining an overly optimistic 152 software team that thought they were crushing and/or killing it but who in fact 153 didn't have a prayer of meeting any of their deadlines before running out of 154 funding, "there's a lot of hope in this room… and I don't like it!" 155 156 If you're clinging to hopes like those above and you like your odds, then 157 that's great. I wish I shared your optimism. But it's always seemed to me that 158 pinning my future on widespread collective action to solve problems that affect 159 me personally—and in a timely-enough manner for it to make a difference—is a 160 risky strategy. Especially if it comes at the expense of taking control of my 161 own destiny by planning for the change so as to protect my interests. 162 163 [34]This isn't the career I wanted 164 165 Let's talk about AI and jobs. I [35]wrote about this topic years and years ago, 166 back in March of 2023. I think the post holds up. I wonder how long it will. 167 168 More relevant to today's discussion, I suspect many people expressing outrage 169 about AI features showing up on the iPhone feel a deep-seated fear that their 170 livelihood might be under threat by AI. For anyone that feels that fear, the 171 best advice I can offer is to figure out how to protect your own interests in a 172 rapidly changing world. As soon as possible. Today, if you have time. 173 174 All I can offer is my story and what worked for me, but I'll admit I had the 175 benefit of a 20-year jump on most people in thinking about how my white collar 176 dream jobs would be at risk of being rendered obsolete by software before I 177 turned 40. 178 179 Contrary to the impression I left on everyone I've put to sleep at cocktail 180 parties in response to being asked, "So what do you do?", I actually never 181 intended to build my career on quixotic attempts to remediate the 182 hopelessly-broken integration test suites of massive banks and insurance 183 companies. 184 185 At first, I wanted to write about the video game industry. 186 187 Then, I wanted to work as a translator in Japan. 188 189 Then, I wanted to go into intellectual property law. 190 191 But as soon as I took even a few steps in any of these directions, the risk of 192 my own replaceability became apparent. Palpable, even. It felt obvious to me, 193 at least as far back as the first half of the 2000s, that each of these jobs 194 depended on structural inefficiencies that "the market" would seek to correct 195 over a short enough time horizon that it would threaten my ability to 196 successfully pursue a financially secure, decades-long career. 197 198 My greatest career-planning asset has always been that I'm allergic to the 199 sensation that what I'm doing is replaceable. If the work is repetitive, then 200 it can be automated. If the work doesn't require any skills that I uniquely 201 bring to the table, then someone else could do it. If the work isn't creating 202 monetary value for someone, then it's only a matter of time until that someone 203 figures out how to stop paying me for it. 204 205 If you don't have that allergic reaction yet, I recommend developing it. If my 206 recently-manifested hay fever is any indication, it's never too late to pick up 207 a new allergy. 208 209 I wound up as a software consultant by process of elimination of a dozen things 210 I'd rather have been doing. I'll go further: I'm not sure I've ever enjoyed a 211 single day of work in my life. I'll stay up as late as my body allows if it 212 means staving off work the next day a little longer. Every weekend, I'd feel 213 miserable by 3pm on Saturday because I'd realize the next day was Sunday and 214 that's the day I spend dreading that work starts again on Monday. Maybe if I 215 had scored one of my dream jobs, I'd have felt differently. At the end of the 216 day, I'm grateful that my overriding fear of financial ruin was so strong that 217 it compelled me to get my ass out of bed in order to go do things that I 218 generally hated doing. 219 220 Then why do it? I'll never forget what I told my advisor in college who asked 221 me the same thing: "because software developers will be the ones to turn off 222 the lights behind them as the door closes on the American middle class." 223 224 Fucking yikes. 225 226 [36]Why I didn't write about video games 227 228 Despite contributing to websites with hundreds of thousands of monthly page 229 views while I was still in middle school, I realized almost immediately how 230 frustrating and fragile advertising income was and how challenging it would be 231 to get customers to pay for my content when free alternatives were effectively 232 infinite. I absolutely loved writing about games and found the palace intrigue 233 of what was going on inside publishers and development studios to be oddly 234 titillating. I could imagine breaking out on my own and developing a compelling 235 editorial voice to demystify the game industry for other fans, and it seemed 236 like it would be a ton of fun. 237 238 But making content itself my core work product always felt self-defeating. Free 239 content garners far more attention than content hidden behind a paywall, but 240 the only way anyone would discover that paid content (or that it's worth paying 241 for in the first place) is, ironically, free content. As a result, it's no 242 surprise that the people who are most successful at selling paid content 243 actually give their best content away for free. 244 245 And I don't want to pay for someone's half-assed scraps when they give away 246 their best work for free. Telling people to pay for a subscription to anything 247 less than my best work would create the risk that subscribers would think it's 248 a bait-and-switch. And they'd be right. Because that's exactly what it would 249 be. 250 251 The Internet is too big and life is too short to settle for anything less than 252 someone's best work. As a result, I resolved at the ripe old age of 17 that I'd 253 never allow myself to depend on income generated by asking people to pay me for 254 my ideas. The reason I was interested in creating things at all was to reach as 255 many people as possible, and the prospect of denying people access to that work 256 in order to make a living was wholly misaligned with what drove me. 257 258 No matter how fun it might have been, the fact that my livelihood would depend 259 on the scarcity of information in a world where the availability of information 260 was spreading like wildfire presented a risk I couldn't fathom staking my 261 financial future on. 262 263 [37]Why I'm not living in Japan as a translator 264 265 It's hard to imagine now, but the spirit of international exchange was 266 overwhelming when I first stepped foot in Japan in 2005. The small city I lived 267 in had opened an "international lounge" for foreign guests to get information 268 from multilingual civil servants, replete with refreshments and 269 Internet-connected computers. The town had a miniscule population of English 270 and Brazillian Portugese speaking residents, but nevertheless employed a team 271 at city hall who translated every single document, instruction manual, and 272 newsletter into both languages (I remember being asked to help them translate a 273 guide on how to procure and register a [38]hanko stamp from Portugese into 274 English). On one occasion, I was tapped to accompany an American jazz group as 275 an English-speaking guide and not-very-good interpreter who was visiting the 276 city to play a concert at a cross-cultural fair at the local public university. 277 278 These were all incredible experiences and they left an idealistic imprint on 279 me. If I really dedicated myself to learning Japanese, I could make a 280 meaningful difference by fostering connections across cultural boundaries. I 281 could put some good into the world. 282 283 But as soon as I put my "career planning" hat on, I realized this was folly. 284 Already, people were walking around with [39]electronic dictionaries, and it 285 was clear that Internet-connected smartphones were just around the corner. How 286 long until phones had microphones that could interpret speech better than I 287 could? Or a camera that could decode the Chinese characters that would take 288 years for me to learn? Who would pay to have their website translated if a 289 browser could eventually do it automatically? 290 291 My interest in work as a translator and interpreter was driven by a desire to 292 promote cross-cultural understanding, but I wasn't an idiot: I knew the thing 293 people would be paying for is to transform a series of words in one language 294 into a series of words in another language. As soon as a technology could do a 295 "good enough" job at that, I'd be unemployed and stranded halfway across the 296 world with no other marketable skills to offer. 297 298 [40]Why I didn't become a lawyer 299 300 There was a brief time in college after I found out how much money intellectual 301 property lawyers made that I seriously thought about it. I was telling a friend 302 about this when he said that his dad was an I.P. lawyer… and how much he hated 303 his life. That it was painfully monotonous. That every day was spent reviewing 304 the same documents, negotiating the same conversations with clients and 305 opposing counsel, and making the same basic decisions. 306 307 While I have several friends who are lawyers, the profession has long 308 represented a twisted form of rent-seeking. By gatekeeping sacred knowledge and 309 arcane ways of contorting the English language, it always felt to me that the 310 market value of many lawyers was derived from the time and money they had 311 invested up front to become a lawyer, as opposed to being rooted in the 312 ingenuity of their work actually lawyering. 313 314 Almost as soon as I started thinking about going into law, endless worries 315 followed. If a bunch of people graduate law school after me, wouldn't that 316 undercut my negotiating power with my firm? Wouldn't new tools like [41]OCR and 317 "eDiscovery" (that is, using computer search indices to pore through tens of 318 thousands of documents instead of dozens of lawyers and paralegals doing it by 319 hand) drastically reduce the number of humans that law firms would need to 320 employ? And legal expenses are almost always a cost center for clients, so 321 wouldn't they drop their lawyers the minute a tool came along that allowed them 322 to navigate the dark art of contract language on their own? 323 324 Staking so much of my income on a status that I'd attained as opposed to the 325 value of my work itself always felt incredibly tenuous to me. So I didn't do 326 it. 327 328 [42]Why I became a software consultant. 329 330 Because software was the thing I was imagining would undermine all these other 331 professions, I found myself resigned to a, "if you can't beat'em, join 'em," 332 mindset. I became a software consultant on a mission to immerse myself in the 333 most complicated systems and asinine bureaucracies as a form of exposure 334 therapy. To learn how to better navigate a world that was beginning to buckle 335 under the weight of bad software. 336 337 My very first client wanted to automate a bunch of corporate IT provisioning 338 tasks (adding, freezing, suspending accounts; assigning access controls; etc.) 339 into workflows that would drastically reduce the amount of manpower those tasks 340 currently took. They were willing to pay my employer's extremely high 341 consulting rates because they wagered one egregiously expensive year 342 implementing all this would pay for itself by saving themselves many more years 343 of salary and benefits for a team of employees to do it all by hand. It was 344 technically fascinating stuff, full of hard problems, yadda yadda, but we all 345 knew the score. The more successful my work was, the sooner people would lose 346 their jobs. 347 348 My second client received tens of thousands of pieces of mail each day, and was 349 currently paying dozens of people to staff an off-site scanning facility to 350 open, prep, categorize, scan, and forward the mail manually. I was tasked with 351 developing an OCR system to eliminate data entry of standardized forms and an 352 [43]OMR solution to automatically forward each piece of mail to the right 353 department. I worked side-by-side with the employees of that off-site scanning 354 facility. Even though reducing headcount was an expressly stated goal of the 355 project, I never got the sense that anybody thought the new system might 356 eliminate their job—only someone else's. Witnessing that cognitive dissonance 357 was bizarre, and only made flying cross-country each week even more depressing. 358 (Of course, it was only a few more years until customers stopped sending mail 359 at all, so the project only really served to accelerate the inevitable.) 360 361 I have more stories. 362 363 The reason software consulting made sense to me as a career choice was 364 threefold: 365 366 1. Every company was coming to rely on software and that dependence was 367 clearly self-reinforcing (the more software they implemented, the more 368 software they would need), which meant a client's need for software would 369 never be sated 370 2. Software created under typical market conditions (prioritizing cost, speed, 371 and capability over maintainability) meant that it would be a 372 rapidly-depreciating asset at best and an outright liability at worst, 373 which meant no such piece of software would ever be "done" 374 3. If something like AI were to come along that could generate working code, 375 the upper bound on that code's quality would probably mirror the garbage 376 that most human programmers produced, which means it would only exacerbate 377 the prior two conditions 378 379 It seemed to me like learning how to navigate messy, hard-to-maintain, high 380 entropy codebases that generated business value but also required ongoing 381 changes would provide enough work to occupy several lifetimes. I was betting 382 that software would always be shitty and that there'd always be demand for more 383 of it. Pessimistic as it was, I feel comfortable declaring that I won that bet. 384 If you got into this racket around the same time and for the same reasons, 385 you've got a job for life. 386 387 [44]What did I just read? 388 389 Does this mean I joined the dark side? That's a valid interpretation. I prefer 390 to think major technological revolutions are unlikely to be stopped, so the 391 only reasonable course of action is to figure out how to adapt to whatever 392 changes those revolutions bring. 393 394 Rather than try to force the ocean to be still, it's always seemed to make more 395 sense to learn to ride the waves instead. And if my public-facing work has done 396 anyone else any good at learning how to ride those waves, then I'm happy to 397 call that my penance. To that ends, if you've read this far and want some 398 personalized advice for navigating the current moment, [45]drop me a line and I 399 promise that I will read it and reply. 400 401 So scrape away, tech giants. If your AI successfully manages to clone my 402 writing, speaking, video, and coding abilities then I'll thank you for saving 403 me the effort and go ride the next wave to come along. 🏄♂️ 404 405 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 406 407 Got a taste for hot, fresh takes? 408 409 Then you're in luck, because you can subscribe to this site via [46]RSS or [47] 410 Mastodon! And if that ain't enough, then sign up for my [48]newsletter and I'll 411 send you a usually-pretty-good essay once a month. I also have a solo [49] 412 podcast, because of course I do. 413 414 © 2024 Justin Searls. All rights reserved. 415 416 417 References: 418 419 [1] https://justin.searls.co/ 420 [2] https://justin.searls.co/ 421 [3] https://justin.searls.co/about 422 [4] https://justin.searls.co/search 423 [5] https://justin.searls.co/rss 424 [6] https://justin.searls.co/posts 425 [7] https://justin.searls.co/links 426 [8] https://justin.searls.co/shots 427 [9] https://justin.searls.co/takes 428 [10] https://justin.searls.co/tubes 429 [11] https://justin.searls.co/casts 430 [12] https://justin.searls.co/spots 431 [13] https://justin.searls.co/mails 432 [14] https://justin.searls.co/about 433 [15] https://justin.searls.co/search 434 [16] https://justin.searls.co/newsletter 435 [17] https://justin.searls.co/rss 436 [18] https://testdouble.com/ 437 [19] https://github.com/searls 438 [20] https://youtube.com/@JustinSearls 439 [21] https://linkedin.com/in/searls 440 [22] https://instagram.com/searls 441 [23] https://mastodon.social/@searls 442 [24] https://twitter.com/searls 443 [25] https://justin.searls.co/newsletter 444 [28] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/ 445 [29] https://apnews.com/article/apple-ipad-ad-social-media-reaction-12e7fbd335feb4875d94c31b87379359 446 [30] https://justin.searls.co/casts 447 [31] https://simonwillison.net/2024/May/8/slop/ 448 [32] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#backing-up-a-step 449 [33] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence 450 [34] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#this-isnt-the-career-i-wanted 451 [35] https://blog.testdouble.com/posts/2023-03-14-how-to-tell-if-ai-threatens-your-job/ 452 [36] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#why-i-didnt-write-about-video-games 453 [37] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#why-im-not-living-in-japan-as-a-translator 454 [38] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seal_(East_Asia)#Japanese_usage 455 [39] https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%9B%BB%E5%AD%90%E8%BE%9E%E6%9B%B8 456 [40] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#why-i-didnt-become-a-lawyer 457 [41] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optical_character_recognition 458 [42] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#why-i-became-a-software-consultant 459 [43] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optical_mark_recognition 460 [44] https://justin.searls.co/posts/dear-ai-companies-please-scrape-this-website/#what-did-i-just-read 461 [45] mailto:[email protected] 462 [46] https://justin.searls.co/rss 463 [47] https://mastodon.social/@searls 464 [48] https://justin.searls.co/newsletter 465 [49] https://justin.searls.co/casts